THE SIGNIFICANCE OF THE BATTLE FOR CUITO CUANAVALE: LONG-TERM FORESIGHT OF THE CURRENT STRATEGIC LANDSCAPE

Abstract

This article deals with the long-term outcomes of the Battle of Cuito Cuanavale in
Angola (1987–1988) and the effect of the outcomes on the current strategic landscape in
Southern Africa. The crux of the article is to learn about the value of long-term
foresight for strategising in an international context. After a short discussion of the
research methodology, the desired long-term outcomes, as perceived by the major roleplayers
before the battle, will be described and explained. For the purpose of
elucidation, a description is included of the events preceding the battle and the course of
the battle itself. Finally, the long-term outcomes within the context of the current
strategic landscape in Southern Africa will be described and explained. The article
concludes with recommendations on the value of long-term strategic foresight and the
importance to maintain strategic instruments, including military force, to ensure that the
foreseen outcomes become reality.